Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x459ae9a9ac280e43792cbf6a79e82afbaa194b8c01c72c1fefee236393e8e36b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,345$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.01 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 1,398$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 46c | 1,285$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.22 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 1,083$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 52c | 1,031$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 48c | 875.8$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.51 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 766.61$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 34c | 608.64$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.83 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 594.98$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 550.09$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 420.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 59c | 412.61$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 78c | 384.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 34c | 360$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 47c | 325.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 31c | 314.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 70c | 286.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 51c | 248.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 72c | 205$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 146.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 111.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 53c | 109.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 30c | 83.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 61c | 70.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Over | 57c | 70.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 54c | 66.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 32c | 60.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 42c | 53.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 49.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 36c | 49.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 53c | 41.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 71c | 32.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 37c | 28.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…7b6fbacked Over | 37c | 27.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…1b30backed Under | 50c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 57c | 21.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ea33backed Over | 52c | 19.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 66c | 19.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 66c | 16.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.