South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ac8dcb6b0715c8c40b01692a49b5626a9b474150dc7b636b997133c78c7bbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 3,900$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 3,067$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 2,381$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 38c | 2,150$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.67 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 989$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 745.12$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.65 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 41c | 289.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 36c | 280.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 220.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 28c | 172$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 131.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 13c | 129.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 58c | 110.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 95.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 55c | 72.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 56c | 35.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Under | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Under | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Under | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Under | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Under | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Under | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5this page
- Club León FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.