TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No42c6,325$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.7846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes62c4,044$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c3,818$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.8698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes31c3,651$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.4612055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes47c2,805$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.192948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c1,719$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.1213933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c893.53$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.6643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes61c874.54$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ed…d2aabacked Yes7c656$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c585.75$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.3647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No51c488.4$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.443966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c479.29$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed No42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes61c386.6$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.673537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes55c379$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.094151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No38c372.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.72944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Yes50c344$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes54c337$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.294247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No65c325$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.454148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ae…e344backed No41c301.08$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes53c297.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.461560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No65c284.67$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes30c260$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782313%3 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes59c254.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No65c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.511858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes43c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No39c199.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked No67c198.48$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes40c190.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.643250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes27c183.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.144650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes33c182.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.892123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.47365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes26c168.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…8c36backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes33c163.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.012917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+84.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Yes55c157.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes30c149.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.762250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes32c139$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5323551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed No79c126.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes40c126.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503641.7%15 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked No50c112.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254667.4%31 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+90.8%equal weight71+0.18 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes60c108.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes50c107.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.541650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes40c105.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.062152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes52c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.76471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c103.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7722652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes35c99.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.983318.2%6 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes40c99.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c99.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1814843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked No50c91.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.66373%46 W · 17 L+19.0wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No40c90$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.646162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes25c82.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes59c75.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9512…e78abacked Yes56c73.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1711351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d3…1655backed No41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b75…2ae6backed Yes59c69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c68.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.728659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc5…6d43backed Yes59c68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38d5…c408backed No41c67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes30c66.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ab…270ebacked Yes59c66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf96…de04backed No41c66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…f09abacked No41c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…6d60backed Yes59c64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc15…2196backed Yes59c63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c99…2592backed No41c63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffd…254dbacked Yes59c62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc71…cc47backed Yes59c61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3316865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x71a8…2de2backed No41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362931%9 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b8…a9bebacked Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes57c59.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeafa…7a5cbacked No41c59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6e…9ee5backed Yes59c59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…6ce5backed Yes59c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d2…0894backed No41c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7578…adbebacked No41c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes44c57.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefe…97cfbacked Yes59c57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.