Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c708b863cf14703cc0c28c3c1371002668cb36d5d6d946ac8caef5a91d0374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 56c | 25,690$14,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,384.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 25,561$11,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,392.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 22,368$10,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,299.91 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 57c | 5,847$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 56c | 4,801$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.4 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 44c | 2,999$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.66 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 2,946$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 2,879$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.98 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…66b7backed Under | 45c | 2,644$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 54c | 2,587$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…0b1bbacked Under | 46c | 2,587$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 44c | 2,133$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.48 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 42c | 2,026$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.86 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…54dabacked Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,324$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Under | 77c | 1,302$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 1,245$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.39 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 43c | 1,147$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 56c | 1,108$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 1,068$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.63 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 1,044$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 795$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 56c | 462.49$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 23c | 404.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 393$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 67c | 373.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 272$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 44c | 234.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 56c | 229.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 228.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 44c | 209.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 26c | 188.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 54c | 186.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 58c | 184.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 44c | 180.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 178.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 44c | 177.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 167.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 69c | 163$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 65c | 154.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 65c | 125.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 64c | 115$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 44c | 112$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 79c | 110.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 57c | 110.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…5f80backed Over | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 58c | 94.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 44c | 91.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 89.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 44c | 89.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -7.6wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 36c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 56c | 79.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 77.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.