Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1774184bf8b6776c15f1901763d96178c285954f11b7137f4466bbd5845cc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 60c | 838.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.25 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 522.7$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 445.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 40c | 433.03$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…a218backed Yes | 61c | 328.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 36c | 227.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 64c | 227.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 173.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 60c | 167.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked No | 26c | 130.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 32c | 73.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 37c | 73.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 62.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 40c | 29.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…3c19backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 59c | 23.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.