South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96765aad2cfdd29ccb318a42adb95695edb81c28195aa14cbe6203ba6c0547ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 75c | 7,777$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 5,304$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.59 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 1,940$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,331$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.67 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.42 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 757.09$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.92 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 62c | 650.77$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.47 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 287.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 59c | 240$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 51c | 185.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 173.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 159.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under | 26c | 100.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +169.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 41c | 88.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 35c | 67.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 25c | 44.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 38.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 45c | 33.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 60c | 29.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 57c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…21bebacked Over | 68c | 24.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5this page
- CF América vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.