Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b354543301201228f26eb46b37d6a1c7f720ad695a0e59b217cd0b57ecff7a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 32c | 22,778$7,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,489.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 68c | 6,458$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 32c | 3,158$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.51 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 1,473$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.23 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,339$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 2c | 837.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 46c | 806.52$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 68c | 785$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.74 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 658.02$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 58c | 545.87$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 78c | 510.12$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 32c | 337$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 282$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 57c | 263.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 30c | 145$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 125.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Over | 57c | 111.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e40dbacked Over | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Under | 68c | 88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 68c | 86.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…b742backed Over | 77c | 84.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 67c | 74.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 48c | 41.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Over | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +105%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 38.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 75c | 37.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…002bbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…afa2backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d7…4fbabacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…d5b4backed Over | 75c | 18.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Under | 64c | 16.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.