Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82055ffd7965b731802791eccb9586ca2f2b00c37e9de57f09f28a25fdb04398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 60c | 4,183$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.33 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 40c | 3,822$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.78 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 40c | 3,678$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Under | 41c | 1,741$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 59c | 1,102$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.69 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 671.72$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 432.98$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 60c | 205.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 40c | 183.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 145.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 59c | 117$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 59c | 115$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 59c | 35.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…e326backed Under | 40c | 25.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…aa8cbacked Over | 61c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…2bc2backed Over | 61c | 19.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…a7debacked Over | 58c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.