La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a96cafe2e6e2577c404d7815c7b168ca91a625e9d5ebb2cda7f80716fe8a7f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athletic Clubof Athletic Club, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD | 61c | 4,737$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Athletic Club | 34c | 3,066$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.88 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Athletic Club | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Levante UD | 67c | 685.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…d812backed Athletic Club | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Athletic Club | 34c | 219$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Athletic Club | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Levante UD | 40c | 126.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Levante UD | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Athletic Club | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Athletic Club | 35c | 95.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletic Club | 53c | 92.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Athletic Club | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Levante UD | 66c | 85.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Athletic Club | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Levante UD | 24c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…27f5backed Athletic Club | 33c | 60.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Athletic Club | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Athletic Club | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Levante UD | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Levante UD | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Athletic Club | 58c | 34.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Athletic Club | 33c | 33.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Levante UD | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Levante UD | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…49b1backed Levante UD | 68c | 22.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…4431backed Levante UD | 68c | 21.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Levante UD | 66c | 20.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Athletic Club | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…653fbacked Levante UD | 68c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)this page
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.