La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbcd44dcc79fe87de926595c4546a68def542a417e57c0e7fb2eebc94cb27106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 51c | 119,805$61,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,704.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 46,029$22,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,269.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 14,599$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,232.57 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 14,275$6,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,994.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 11,878$5,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,834.1 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 8,367$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 7,200$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 6,987$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…66b7backed Under | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 2,085$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.5 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 2,042$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.84 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,826$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.74 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 49c | 894.86$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.08 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 811.92$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.84 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 749.69$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.85 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 51c | 626.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 551.36$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd54…3a0cbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 49c | 334$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 209.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 58c | 135$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 127.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 57c | 105.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…6a04backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 49c | 91.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 49c | 54.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 55c | 52.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 50.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…cc55backed Under | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Over | 49c | 44.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 42.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224d…dd48backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 56c | 35.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…4e09backed Under | 51c | 33.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 50c | 33.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…803cbacked Over | 50c | 32.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…e1d9backed Under | 51c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 51c | 26.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…0bc3backed Over | 50c | 26.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a81abacked Under | 51c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 49c | 23.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Over | 60c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 54c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…e6e4backed Over | 51c | 21.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…93bebacked Over | 50c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…b742backed Over | 80c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.