La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa71976e06b53d11829d77721425c38e8fcb9016d5dd4e061f4b8a13df7d969d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.23 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 50c | 517.72$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 499.93$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 310.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 169.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 48c | 155.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 49c | 149.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 75c | 129.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 111.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 96.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 69.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 69.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…8507backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 37c | 31.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.