La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ca1a050d5afa4bf288b8e7315e751e7666f1c5cf751a01326f76a054ec744f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 75c | 826.31$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 408$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 74c | 405.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 383.94$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 74c | 345.21$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 269.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 255.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 26c | 38.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 74c | 36.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 75c | 25.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.