La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a6dc3d301ed5e4e26a2f791ab3d8e9cb0e0d1d760af74fbc03e872a661d4ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 2,496$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.6 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,929$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 1,092$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 76c | 660$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 610.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 76c | 523.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 505.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 27c | 490$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.7 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 403.23$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.23 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 7c | 399.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 35c | 337.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 72c | 312.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 34c | 185$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 172.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 128.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Under | 46c | 106.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 83.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed Under | 63c | 82.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 46c | 64.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 72c | 61.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 39c | 35.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e40dbacked Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.