Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c742bc2465860f96ee186f71099c78bbc4a1df763becf2005fdda4c886ee83f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 51c | 11,627$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 49c | 6,479$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 50c | 4,572$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 2,623$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.88 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 49c | 2,532$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.68 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 998.84$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.11 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 32c | 939.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 909.71$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 712.75$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 614.92$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 50c | 598.71$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.23 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Under | 51c | 449.92$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 48c | 422.9$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 70c | 397$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Under | 51c | 288.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 47c | 212.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 206.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 35c | 169.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 28c | 150.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 53c | 150.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 143.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 29c | 141.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 27c | 138$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Over | 34c | 124.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 50c | 98.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 95.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…a4bebacked Under | 68c | 84.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 80.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 53c | 75.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 65.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…d0a7backed Under | 76c | 65.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 49c | 63.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 49c | 53.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 41.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb7…fad8backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 60c | 39.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 68c | 34.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Under | 60c | 34.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7fdfbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 70c | 24.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.