Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23b489a7d36e59c01ac9bb2341564549f57505c931d394906a20df890d3132fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 973.05$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.96 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 583.96$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 53c | 561.5$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 541.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 434.2$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.81 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 382.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 51c | 355.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 52c | 302.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 38c | 238.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 56c | 223.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 51c | 195.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 189.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 186.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 138.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 14c | 110$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 108.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Yes | 52c | 95.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 52c | 88.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 49c | 79.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 59.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 55.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…6b22backed Yes | 49c | 44.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Yes | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 35.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 51c | 35.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed No | 60c | 34.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…70d2backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 52c | 19.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.