Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aba91f29405322042f3af5e2f4cc4e693f066de105b9184872e51d465ecf000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 4,142$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.59 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 53c | 3,800$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 1,781$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.63 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 41c | 1,268$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Over | 45c | 1,102$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 10c | 1,048$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.01 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 1,003$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.09 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 823.1$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.08 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 61c | 822.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 52c | 731.27$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 53c | 568.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 535.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 532.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…8191backed Over | 79c | 504.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 450$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 13c | 415.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.32 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 56c | 362.75$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 13c | 311.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.42 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Under | 25c | 270.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 29c | 244.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 78c | 239$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 63c | 209.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 49c | 205.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…5216backed Over | 62c | 204.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 13c | 202.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 38c | 150.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Under | 15c | 147.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…33c0backed Over | 75c | 140.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 65c | 138.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Under | 15c | 138.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 53c | 135.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Under | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 55c | 103.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 79c | 102.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 51c | 97.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 44c | 68.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d03…5722backed Over | 75c | 54.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 24c | 54.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 43c | 48.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 45c | 44.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…d91abacked Over | 53c | 37.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Over | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 42c | 28.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.