Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd45a11efb22a2d336adad6d8639b8a41e0d281d9c23f765570ea1fb10e74d04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 45c | 4,755$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 4,346$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Over | 45c | 3,245$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 53c | 1,779$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 45c | 1,744$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.8 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 66c | 1,727$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 1,465$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 44c | 1,416$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,011$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.45 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 54c | 800.83$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 73c | 798.47$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 31c | 787.66$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.25 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 744.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 52c | 582.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 533.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.06 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 73c | 403.51$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 53c | 314.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 297.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 72c | 277.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 240.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 29c | 220.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 48c | 209.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Over | 54c | 155.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 64c | 153.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 145.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Under | 42c | 112.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…f4cabacked Over | 54c | 108$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 41c | 98.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 42c | 95.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 54c | 62.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…2d88backed Over | 53c | 57.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…a4bebacked Under | 43c | 57.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Over | 27c | 56.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 48c | 52.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 51.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 28c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Over | 61c | 47.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 46.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 71c | 38.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 29c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 71c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Under | 29c | 35.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 56c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Over | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 72c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 70c | 22.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 19.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.