Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Teodora Kostovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa369348a8d318e47068ef0b85c125fb13e802067679bfb101ba5bbbf1bcb449f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baptisteof Baptiste, Kostovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kostovic | 33c | 6,947$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Baptiste | 66c | 6,101$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.67 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Kostovic | 30c | 5,772$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…525abacked Kostovic | 30c | 5,595$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.14 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Baptiste | 70c | 5,267$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.55 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kostovic | 37c | 3,244$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.12 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baptiste | 65c | 2,330$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.7 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kostovic | 26c | 1,036$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baptiste | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Baptiste | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Baptiste | 49c | 652.59$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.59 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Baptiste | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…03fabacked Baptiste | 73c | 428.31$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Kostovic | 35c | 422.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baptiste | 65c | 405.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Kostovic | 14c | 363.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kostovic | 21c | 333.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kostovic | 29c | 263.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kostovic | 25c | 250.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Baptiste | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Baptiste | 49c | 243.18$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baptiste | 73c | 169.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Baptiste | 66c | 162$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Kostovic | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baptiste | 34c | 143.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kostovic | 31c | 130.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Baptiste | 70c | 119.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…de7cbacked Kostovic | 50c | 103.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Baptiste | 74c | 101.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…58bdbacked Kostovic | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…da06backed Baptiste | 68c | 91.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Kostovic | 28c | 90.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Baptiste | 58c | 84.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Baptiste | 58c | 81.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…d4bcbacked Baptiste | 64c | 59.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kostovic | 25c | 49.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Kostovic | 44c | 48.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Kostovic | 23c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…6541backed Baptiste | 75c | 38.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…718abacked Baptiste | 32c | 37.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…07d6backed Kostovic | 31c | 37.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Kostovic | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Baptiste | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Baptiste | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Baptiste | 76c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Baptiste | 70c | 22.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baptiste | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Baptiste | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Baptiste | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Teodora Kostovicthis page
- Baptiste vs. Kostovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.