TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c15,584$11,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.9284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No72c10,738$7,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c8,152$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2653,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes28c6,411$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.0252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c5,004$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c3,155$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.8513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No73c2,402$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.485545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c1,528$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.62,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes30c1,362$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes27c1,170$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3163132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes30c1,117$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No71c1,036$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.898636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No73c927.55$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.448245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2169148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes28c775$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2177135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No72c499.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c450$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c450$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No73c450$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.58444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93135.5%11 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No73c359.98$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.28046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No73c349.96$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.499037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No73c348.14$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4211843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ec…3ff3backed Yes72c334.8$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed No64c325.13$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.492759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes27c311.9$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes34c302$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.682814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8113650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No73c299.96$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.998953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No73c280$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.68554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes9c230$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes27c223.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4510254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1227…4c44backed Yes34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7e…843dbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No76c203.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.121717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes26c201.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…80f9backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+264.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5414756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.36446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.31050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38b…a04dbacked Yes27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.68056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8437926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No33c176.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.933625%9 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-29.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked No73c171$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.172040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.96350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No73c169.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No73c169.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No73c169.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.27544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.818049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No73c149.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.510953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No73c119.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes30c118$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd485…871fbacked Yes27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed No72c93.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.481275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes47c90.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6912258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No45c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.64533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No73c79.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed No74c79.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No73c74.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.38949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.99450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes27c69.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.819056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9014…b6abbacked Yes27c64.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27252.8%38 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No73c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.