Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Ferro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x597df9970921dc9ac95f277f110b100a5d16bb7efc1a55d722cac0662eae047a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferroof Bartunkova, Ferro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Ferro | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bartunkova | 43c | 1,374$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.37 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Ferro | 56c | 893.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.36 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bartunkova | 45c | 319.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0c65backed Bartunkova | 50c | 282$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Ferro | 32c | 184.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bartunkova | 44c | 177$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Bartunkova | 42c | 172$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Bartunkova | 41c | 157.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bartunkova | 47c | 92.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Bartunkova | 23c | 85.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Bartunkova | 50c | 80.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bartunkova | 44c | 77.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bartunkova | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bartunkova | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bartunkova | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Bartunkova | 49c | 44.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Ferro | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Ferro | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Ferro | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Ferro | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Bartunkova | 47c | 31.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Ferro | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Ferro | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Ferro (+1.5)this page
- Ferro vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Ferro vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Ferro vs. Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Ostrava Open: Fiona Ferro vs Nikola BartunkovaBartunkova won
- Set 1 Winner: Ferro vs BartunkovaBartunkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.