Will Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3592e73e9e964bfafe67fe9e2f6c20d5c32af674f36cecea29b90812b0058f64

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $141,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $192,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,843 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No	74c	52,000$38,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,519.98	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes	26c	16,762$4,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,358.12	108	45.4%49 W · 59 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes	26c	12,141$3,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,156.76	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	74c	11,598$8,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,986.59	582	48.8%284 W · 298 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes	26c	11,325$2,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,944.5	161	44.1%71 W · 90 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	27c	8,864$2,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,355.29	597	41.7%249 W · 348 L	-18.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	26c	5,095$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,322.28	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	74c	5,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.92	149	53%79 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes	26c	4,231$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	152	52%79 W · 73 L	-11.9wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes	26c	3,427$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	72c	1,875$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes	28c	1,429$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes	12c	1,390$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	74c	1,230$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.67	633	46.3%293 W · 340 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes	26c	926.42$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.87	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No	75c	721.03$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.03	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Yes	26c	502.85$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.74	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes	27c	459.66$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No	73c	413$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.51	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-28%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	226	47.3%107 W · 119 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No	74c	344.59$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.59	61	59%36 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	146	50.7%74 W · 72 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	86	26.7%23 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes	27c	293$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.11	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+26%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes	11c	269$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.59	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	78c	250.59$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.24	214	60.7%130 W · 84 L	+21.0wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa41…f05dbacked Yes	26c	234$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.84	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	41cpaid	-49%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes	12c	225.64$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	375	44%165 W · 210 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	42cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	14c	197$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.58	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes	26c	191.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes	21c	190.55$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.92	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	26c	176$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes	12c	175.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	50	36%18 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes	26c	167.65$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.59	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	26c	159$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.34	434	27.4%119 W · 315 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes	25c	155$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	26.6%25 W · 69 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes	26c	147.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.3	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No	74c	144$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes	14c	141$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	26c	138$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	298	46.3%138 W · 160 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes	26c	134.62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No	74c	129.32$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.29	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked No	74c	107.12$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.85	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfece…940bbacked No	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	58cpaid	-73%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	20c	98.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	236	37.3%88 W · 148 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No	74c	96$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.64	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No	74c	96$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.64	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-8.3wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	19c	91.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	203	43.3%88 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No	75c	90.11$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.53	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes	26c	88.45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	126	44.4%56 W · 70 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Yes	26c	83.65$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.40per pick	54cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No	80c	83$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	206	43.2%89 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e7…e69ebacked Yes	26c	80.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e3…3a39backed Yes	26c	80$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No	74c	72.96$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.97	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No	74c	70.31$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.96	106	49.1%52 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed No	74c	65.2$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.95	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	21c	63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	291	42.3%123 W · 168 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No	74c	62.75$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.31	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…450cbacked Yes	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes	26c	57.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes	26c	55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	137	59.1%81 W · 56 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	74c	49.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	110	70%77 W · 33 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes	26c	45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a3…b461backed Yes	26c	43.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	74c	38.96$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.13	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No	79c	37.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.96	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No	74c	33.63$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f8…9908backed No	74c	31.15$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No	74c	27.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	266	45.9%122 W · 144 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	74c	27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.02	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No	74c	25.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	88	68.2%60 W · 28 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	76cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No	74c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	84	60.7%51 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	74c	14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.64	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event