La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb696fcfd814c3875becd3ab621fc5ef934fce68c0bc65f4da77db41e6c31628b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 16,715$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.11 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 9,047$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed Yes | 9c | 3,001$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,171$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 2,100$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 9c | 1,999$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,710$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…2f82backed Yes | 1c | 1,405$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 9c | 1,344$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 1c | 1,044$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 10c | 1,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 2c | 1,025$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 9c | 933.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…eaa6backed Yes | 9c | 922.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 11c | 916.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 8c | 812.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 2c | 784.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 682$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 9c | 609.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 10c | 587.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 568.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 9c | 566.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Yes | 11c | 504$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 10c | 444.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 7c | 414.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Yes | 9c | 402.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes | 9c | 400.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 8c | 372$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…34a5backed Yes | 3c | 338.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 9c | 320.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 9c | 318.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 8c | 235.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…7670backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…8f16backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…f2c1backed Yes | 9c | 218.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…5ef8backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 9c | 169.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 8c | 155.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed Yes | 8c | 127.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 9c | 114.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.