La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c10bdd0b8becd93664b0f885cda8f1e91ca54481cc6abf637e27d35fe0de099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 18c | 16,666$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.83 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 2,702$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 17c | 941.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 13c | 786.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 11c | 600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 10c | 352.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 309.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Yes | 10c | 269.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…c2debacked Yes | 13c | 237.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…8507backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…1b0cbacked Yes | 11c | 198.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 12c | 171.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 12c | 170.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…d155backed Yes | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 19c | 135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…baf7backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 18c | 99.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 11c | 96.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 18c | 83.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 18c | 78.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…b28abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +134%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.