La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98aab1b95e2f94ae8a9fbb90ce273dc53d89d92ac801e779a13fa203460d806c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 14c | 3,299$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.24 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,721$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.93 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 1,832$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.3 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 23c | 673.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 628.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 29c | 433$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 38c | 395$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 65c | 378$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 14c | 349$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 65c | 321.55$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 20c | 307.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 263.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 20c | 249.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 44c | 218.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 155.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 63c | 115.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 22c | 112.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 25c | 104.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 104.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 20c | 104.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 97.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Over | 55c | 91.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 19c | 73.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 78c | 68.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Over | 35c | 45.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 40.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 39c | 39.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.