La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec34d36a05c11c15b0706daff0f0117ad86969518ba5184c8161e7adf5fccff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 2,701$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 68c | 1,412$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.84 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 958.74$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 67c | 744.1$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 473.16$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 40c | 415$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 230.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 58c | 170.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 38c | 157.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Under | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 66c | 121.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 120.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 104.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 102.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 66c | 90.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 43c | 50.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 51c | 47.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 67c | 41.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 67c | 39.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 51c | 22.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.