La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9701dfae7bed2c39980c0705af0be273fdda738d66c1e546082830bf2998364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,959$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 53c | 1,849$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 49c | 1,423$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.5 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 49c | 640.82$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 27c | 583$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.59 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 318.87$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 49c | 306.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 53c | 283.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 215$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 47c | 129.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 30c | 117.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…c05bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 44.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 49c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.