La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548cd5d528e3c88be3f4074658ab7db60f10bf37dfe37a96237b294998b8d5a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 23,411$13,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,650.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 38c | 12,510$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,756.23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 74c | 4,994$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.4 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 39c | 2,984$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,904$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.28 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,387$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.95 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 62c | 931.12$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 75c | 869$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 698.24$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.19 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 38c | 605.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 36c | 560.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 473.47$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 27c | 380$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 60c | 343.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 333.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 41c | 331.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 77c | 293.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…8c92backed Over | 57c | 192.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 28c | 166.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 40c | 147.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 21c | 144.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 29c | 141.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 61c | 130.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 77c | 128.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 61c | 104.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 61c | 104.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 40c | 101.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 60c | 101.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 73c | 94.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 74.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 38c | 65.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 77c | 63.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 40c | 57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 32c | 53.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 51.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 53c | 51.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 40c | 50.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 51c | 48.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 40c | 41.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 61c | 33.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 73c | 30.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 60c | 22.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9198backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.