Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf72ebeb00894027c9eee7965e00ae459521f963a95d9ef49f7fc91b434538d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 126,430$79,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,657.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 38c | 67,728$25,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,859.94 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 39c | 26,458$10,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,236.06 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 43c | 23,300$10,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,019 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 18,534$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,292.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 15,219$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.12 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 8,698$5,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.02 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 7,419$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.48 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 7,375$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 43c | 6,924$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 6,852$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.14 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 6,283$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.15 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 6,034$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.75 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 73c | 4,993$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.2 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 42c | 4,718$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.56 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes | 41c | 4,060$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.52 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Yes | 41c | 3,907$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.83 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 41c | 3,650$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 46c | 3,082$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.46 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 60c | 2,645$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.01 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.5 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 1,723$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.39 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d6d6backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 57c | 1,472$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.96 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 55c | 1,464$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,438$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 64c | 1,409$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.66 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 1,394$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,373$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.07 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 57c | 1,296$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.28 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 43c | 1,168$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.1 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,141$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.06 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…c1c1backed Yes | 43c | 1,132$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…13eebacked Yes | 32c | 1,128$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 33c | 1,101$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.34 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 1,063$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…50f2backed Yes | 41c | 1,009$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 57c | 934.97$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 10c | 899.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 876.26$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.79 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 27c | 843.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes | 42c | 828.02$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 42c | 796.85$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.68 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 37c | 778.69$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 76c | 744.76$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.7 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 42c | 726.19$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 63c | 677.17$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 653.72$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Yes | 34c | 634.88$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 31c | 625.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…780cbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 69c | 609$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 57c | 599.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 32c | 568.78$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 56c | 559.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 33c | 541.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 57c | 501.73$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 59c | 501.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.69 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 57c | 500$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.57 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed Yes | 43c | 485.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked No | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 22c | 465$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 33c | 450$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 437.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 430$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 419.72$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 62c | 408.27$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal leading at halftime?this page
- Croatia leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.