Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed9ff0e055138e711ab912b3a385fda658eace0834a241861fb85688eed5648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 30,282$16,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,637.34 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 23,251$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 48c | 18,541$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,576.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 13,097$5,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,660.65 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 12,936$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 42c | 8,261$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.24 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 7,522$4,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 7,276$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 7,254$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.62 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 47c | 6,443$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.7 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 59c | 6,213$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.65 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 4,676$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 60c | 3,367$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.32 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 25c | 3,061$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.19 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 48c | 2,074$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.17 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,350$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.99 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 27c | 1,326$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.03 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 7c | 1,313$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,180$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 1,160$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…90f7backed Yes | 41c | 1,149$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 75c | 1,117$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.75 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 1,114$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 58c | 1,019$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.18 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 43c | 976.7$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.72 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 29c | 972.72$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.03 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 57c | 877$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 58c | 850.72$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.92 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed No | 57c | 810$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.7 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 31c | 664.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 43c | 586$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.02 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Yes | 40c | 555$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Yes | 72c | 553.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 512$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 57c | 499.95$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.47 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 433.92$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Yes | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 34c | 425.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Yes | 73c | 410.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…c1c1backed Yes | 50c | 390.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 41c | 374.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…dc4dbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 40c | 338$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 74c | 337.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 76c | 330.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes | 59c | 298.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed No | 58c | 271.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 43c | 271$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 59c | 238$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…f980backed Yes | 77c | 237$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed Yes | 42c | 209.93$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…4857backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 196.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 42c | 194$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 36c | 180.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 59c | 180$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Yes | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 58c | 171.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…3cf4backed Yes | 58c | 170.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…1c98backed Yes | 46c | 168.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 42c | 166.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 55c | 162.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24a…45b1backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…058abacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 58c | 134.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?this page
- Croatia leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.