La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b24db4c2b1490b0df2d6bf790fbfa96e947b95e103121673b8032ba1df414c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 3,433$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.63 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 70c | 2,862$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 2,133$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.09 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 1,008$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 51c | 974.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 69c | 729.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 618.94$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.88 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 27c | 501.21$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 26c | 496.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 42c | 480.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 30c | 375.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.87 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 57c | 350.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 29c | 345.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 29c | 327.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.77 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 38c | 304.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 43c | 278.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 74c | 251.54$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 47c | 251.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 46c | 215.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 48c | 208.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 31c | 205.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…4c50backed Under | 70c | 203.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Over | 43c | 155.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 63c | 152.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 39c | 128.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 44c | 113.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 20c | 100.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 96.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 47c | 85.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 69c | 82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 66c | 82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 74c | 80.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 79.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 72.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 49c | 65.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 22c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 135 | 26.7%36 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 55.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 73c | 45.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 43.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Under | 58c | 39.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 35c | 34.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 62c | 32.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 49c | 30.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 61c | 25.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 51c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 71c | 15.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.