TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c11,001$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,940.324,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over56c6,350$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7943557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Under54c2,391$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over62c1,983$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.543339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,225$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.942,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over55c1,057$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.552330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over50c985$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under51c741.18$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3786222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c649.66$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.971,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c593.15$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.323,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c515.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5513070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.21275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under56c446.81$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.251631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under41c431.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over65c307.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.773754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c268.48$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.631,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over60c266.75$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7522357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c220.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under44c183.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over51c183$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.192661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over55c182.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6712650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over55c135.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c121.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over69c120.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over71c114.08$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0834050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under30c113.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1622638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4517744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5510634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed Under44c99.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over48c93.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.827573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over48c92.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.173966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over65c92.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.353545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.326440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under46c88.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.66342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1111741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c80…8a1dbacked Under58c84.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over45c78.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under43c76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3210143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over66c74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.423250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over63c72.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over71c70.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under43c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.352250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under50c57.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.889354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under49c52.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.951353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over60c51.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3611855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under53c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.491560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…4aebbacked Over64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over72c44.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.383751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under33c43.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.335752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under59c42.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-50.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under52c39.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7916342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over42c39.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c37.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6128446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under55c36.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c35.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4259655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef97…b8fcbacked Under53c35.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over72c33.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4612156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under54c33.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under51c28.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4812042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over46c28.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.147749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over47c27.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6131745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c2…a266backed Under53c27.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over54c26.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.115152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6a…26c6backed Over51c21.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over58c20.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3009…d675backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.