Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e7c00ef5df651ff3f490d92b93e6f9a332aebdb967e64919d7cf9aebc90b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,383$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.81 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 39c | 1,940$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,718$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,129$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.7 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked No | 72c | 580$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 351.01$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 335.68$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Yes | 16c | 294.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 245.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 217.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 18c | 144.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 137$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Yes | 11c | 135.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 17c | 119.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 46c | 94.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 71c | 91.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 26c | 77.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 69c | 62.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 56.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 42c | 48.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 30c | 42.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…9780backed No | 62c | 24.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-30?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.