Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3933d2921c3a49129f08cc7831407198a2f554685f1c4416fa80f4f5132e547a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 7,244$5,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.19 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,440$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 3,350$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 22c | 2,924$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.94 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,889$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.36 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 21c | 1,865$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 73c | 1,487$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.01 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 21c | 1,191$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 18c | 1,063$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 79c | 827.63$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Yes | 1c | 818.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 21c | 761.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…6446backed Yes | 21c | 590.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…1833backed Yes | 21c | 478.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 5c | 384.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 343.17$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…4dfbbacked Yes | 24c | 331.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 311$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 75c | 302.86$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 23c | 288$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 22c | 275$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…8bacbacked Yes | 6c | 271.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 8c | 254.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 79c | 238.09$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 23c | 223.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 23c | 170.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 149.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 22c | 145.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 21c | 133.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 12c | 123$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 77c | 98.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 21c | 95.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 21c | 93.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed No | 78c | 83.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…ad6cbacked Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…728abacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 25c | 50.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 49.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 22c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 79c | 47.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 78cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 34.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 32.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 79c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 74c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.