Fifa International · resolved market
Korea Republic to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x448723e076fc6f68e9d9da089383a8a1cffa565a890e1904d76c54855a3188ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 49c | 3,057$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.11 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 2,537$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…507abacked Yes | 52c | 1,677$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.3 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,330$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 51c | 1,160$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.75 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 60c | 692.15$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.45 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 48c | 519.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 41c | 483.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 392$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 62c | 316.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 50c | 314.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 255$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 49c | 195.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…d5a5backed Yes | 39c | 148.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…18f8backed No | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 49c | 108.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 95.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 44c | 78.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 77.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 62.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…2896backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 182 | 31.9%58 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 48c | 54.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 64c | 45.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6403…0318backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 49c | 22.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 20.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…63cbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Korea Republic to win the second half?this page
- South Africa to win the second half?Yes won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.