Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ed7e0717fd0f7ae363479ea2f942ee751dcbbd47df7950493eb6719aed6d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 3,465$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 28c | 2,431$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.55 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 72c | 2,425$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 3c | 1,645$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 70c | 1,427$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…c761backed Yes | 34c | 888.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 499.77$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…06b7backed Yes | 32c | 346.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 327.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 69c | 176.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 72c | 170.72$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…47fdbacked No | 70c | 143.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…3841backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 127.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 30c | 113.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…1874backed Yes | 31c | 91.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 33c | 91.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed No | 66c | 89.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 34c | 82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 69.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 62.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked No | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…4a03backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Yes | 34c | 36.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 65c | 29.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 66c | 25.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 24.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 68c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 68c | 16.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?this page
- France to win the second half?Yes won
- Morocco to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.