TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France to win the second half?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x969a…59ddbacked No50c16,955$8,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,445.129247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes50c14,926$7,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,405.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes51c10,039$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.552,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked No49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.813554.8%74 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c9,994$5,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No39c4,408$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.2234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c2,987$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.6275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c2,839$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed No48c1,980$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c1,880$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No38c1,666$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.0858049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No47c1,246$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes52c1,208$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4312740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No48c1,156$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.778057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed No45c1,052$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.214942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes79c1,029$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes57c883.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8211826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed No48c804$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.175349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No33c748.14$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.552,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No49c550$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed No50c500.61$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3111745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No29c479.78$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5646047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed No46c474.09$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.087834.6%27 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No48c390$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes52c384.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6510234.3%35 W · 67 L-13.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3712544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No47c363.83$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1717065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No49c319.15$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9765651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No48c299.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.21,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No33c275.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.912,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c264.59$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.323,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c264.09$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.042,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No4c251$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No12c220.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.671,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes52c215.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3824162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes52c192.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6456240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Yes52c191.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.021050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1946…6367backed No46c188.87$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.188756.3%49 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes51c186.79$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9120816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4354…dbf7backed Yes61c160.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.572128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c159.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.022,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Yes51c136.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.815343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.038733.3%29 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…5347backed Yes53c124.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c5…4667backed Yes61c105.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf70…52fbbacked Yes52c103.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.853357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed No47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.994247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes79c96.4$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.962,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3441339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5551458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1901…31cebacked Yes51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2412763%80 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes51c77.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce69…1bd2backed Yes53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.045250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.817953.6%96 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d9…1b48backed Yes62c56.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8480…2f53backed Yes51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.98955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked Yes63c50.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.843847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2523950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…5ce9backed No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1b…1d65backed Yes53c49.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.629259.8%55 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0211839.8%47 W · 71 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2c…88c6backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1718562.2%115 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No49c43.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2748154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8d…50bcbacked Yes53c42.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Yes60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610750.5%54 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b89…87babacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2210342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a8…705abacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…137ebacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f2…cf88backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65db…4ba3backed Yes61c36.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.071315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed No42c34.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5312340.7%50 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8f…95adbacked Yes62c32.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5577…c946backed Yes51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.373228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.454859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633b…be99backed Yes50c27.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes53c23.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.061,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked No48c22.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.734257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Yes56c22.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.774346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes52c21.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.593,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed Yes58c18.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.978046.3%37 W · 43 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.