Fifa International · resolved market
Japan to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663d4dac99a60e8120cddf4853b1296fe0ea220c7e86712ec48df7b1854ecf97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 15,627$9,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,541.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 48c | 13,554$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.53 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 42c | 7,279$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.2 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 47c | 5,931$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.05 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 5,534$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 3,435$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.45 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 54c | 1,996$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.28 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 1,598$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.19 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 80c | 1,582$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 45c | 1,561$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.23 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 46c | 1,309$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.03 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 51c | 1,242$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.45 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 1,119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 54c | 1,016$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.1 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 35c | 925.37$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.34 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 851.35$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.26 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 46c | 742.43$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.08 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…c902backed Yes | 54c | 726.87$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.58 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 45c | 701.2$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…5783backed No | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 32c | 656.75$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 49c | 522.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.4 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…bf53backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 45c | 499.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 431.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 47c | 409.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6a09backed Yes | 55c | 372.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 343$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 340.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 56c | 334.34$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 53c | 332.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 52c | 322$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…3588backed Yes | 53c | 283.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 33c | 256.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 63c | 245.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 61c | 238.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 52c | 226.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 208.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…6746backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…0818backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99db…a2abbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 32c | 159.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…9cd0backed Yes | 52c | 159$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…2352backed Yes | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…748abacked Yes | 49c | 96.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 60.3%164 W · 108 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 45c | 84.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…81d9backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…f186backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 46c | 63.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…f6bdbacked Yes | 78c | 63.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…a409backed Yes | 58c | 60.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…2866backed Yes | 59c | 51.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…d820backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…acdebacked Yes | 76c | 50.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…caeabacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…6cb3backed Yes | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 52c | 46.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 42.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…87f5backed Yes | 52c | 39.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 46c | 38.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…23b1backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…eaf2backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…e943backed Yes | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…b7dabacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…a4cabacked Yes | 56c | 32.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…ba93backed Yes | 57c | 32.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 52c | 31.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…f2c1backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Yes | 75c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…696bbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…99bfbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed No | 49c | 27.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…1e69backed Yes | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…6d9dbacked Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…eeabbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…0dd1backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…29c8backed Yes | 55c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan to win the second half?this page
- Tunisia to win the second half?No won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.