CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3097a5e882cd1e8de1a7880c599537dbf8cb88148b2fd08fa0edb9bfbdc4175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MIBR | 25c | 10,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 74c | 9,713$7,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.83 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR | 29c | 8,173$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Astralis | 75c | 5,235$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.78 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed MIBR | 19c | 4,902$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.48 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed MIBR | 23c | 4,389$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.51 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MIBR | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 77c | 2,902$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Astralis | 76c | 2,594$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.48 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed MIBR | 24c | 2,390$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.48 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed MIBR | 25c | 2,200$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…ba86backed Astralis | 75c | 2,020$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 76c | 1,711$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.84 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MIBR | 23c | 1,446$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.27 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Astralis | 74c | 1,300$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Astralis | 75c | 1,068$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Astralis | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR | 25c | 981.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked MIBR | 26c | 894.36$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…ba10backed Astralis | 75c | 801.95$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MIBR | 19c | 792.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 73c | 757.02$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 78c | 740.1$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed MIBR | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 76c | 689.92$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.58 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 77c | 639.05$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…8710backed Astralis | 76c | 597.61$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked MIBR | 24c | 556.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked MIBR | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked MIBR | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Astralis | 78c | 431.16$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Astralis | 76c | 414.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Astralis | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 14c | 380.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MIBR | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis | 76c | 358.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR | 8c | 356.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked MIBR | 13c | 329.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Astralis | 76c | 324.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MIBR | 16c | 303.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Astralis | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Astralis | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 69c | 261.68$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…25d5backed Astralis | 76c | 260.38$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Astralis | 76c | 259.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked MIBR | 23c | 252.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…bda1backed Astralis | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Astralis | 79c | 248.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MIBR | 12c | 240.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astralis | 76c | 237.59$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Astralis | 76c | 236.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e271backed Astralis | 76c | 230.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MIBR | 18c | 215.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked MIBR | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Astralis | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed MIBR | 27c | 191.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed MIBR | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Astralis | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MIBR | 24c | 171.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed MIBR | 14c | 166.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MIBR | 25c | 162.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 14c | 161.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed MIBR | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…01a8backed MIBR | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed MIBR | 26c | 146.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…04f7backed MIBR | 15c | 141.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed MIBR | 18c | 140.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR | 24c | 136.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…caccbacked Astralis | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Astralis | 76c | 114.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed MIBR | 27c | 111.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 71c | 108.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MIBR | 25c | 105.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Astralis | 71c | 100.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Astralis | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…acb7backed Astralis | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed MIBR | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 12c | 94.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…56aebacked MIBR | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked MIBR | 27c | 91.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Astralis | 78c | 90.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked MIBR | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed MIBR | 26c | 88.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…8826backed MIBR | 25c | 84.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed MIBR | 13c | 80.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Astralis | 78c | 78.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Astralis | 75c | 78.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Astralis | 73c | 76.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked MIBR | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR | 25c | 74.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed MIBR | 27c | 71.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MIBR | 17c | 64.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…4f37backed Astralis | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.