CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x790f58fb40e6be17d03a3f30e164a0d99864fc76be12e42d8be8c7e58609517c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Astralis | 76c | 2,909$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.56 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR | 38c | 2,829$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.56 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked MIBR | 18c | 2,736$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.12 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 33c | 1,963$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.88 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 67c | 1,688$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 77c | 1,641$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.05 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MIBR | 14c | 1,640$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MIBR | 18c | 1,593$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Astralis | 77c | 1,456$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.71 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 77c | 1,165$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Astralis | 67c | 979.91$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Astralis | 64c | 817.88$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.79 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Astralis | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked MIBR | 37c | 770.26$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 75c | 591$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked MIBR | 28c | 564.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Astralis | 66c | 458.33$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 72c | 404.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MIBR | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Astralis | 76c | 398.49$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed MIBR | 3c | 383.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked MIBR | 36c | 336.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MIBR | 31c | 327.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MIBR | 31c | 308.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MIBR | 15c | 304.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Astralis | 69c | 299.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed MIBR | 10c | 276.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed Astralis | 73c | 267.68$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed MIBR | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MIBR | 34c | 259.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR | 7c | 259.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Astralis | 79c | 249.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Astralis | 69c | 240.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 78c | 217.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed MIBR | 16c | 197.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 60c | 192.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Astralis | 67c | 175.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8e3fbacked Astralis | 63c | 154.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIBR | 15c | 135.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 34c | 135.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIBR | 10c | 128.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Astralis | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked MIBR | 37c | 119$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 78c | 117.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR | 10c | 111.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Astralis | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Astralis | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked MIBR | 21c | 99.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 21c | 95.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 22c | 95.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MIBR | 30c | 91.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MIBR | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIBR | 33c | 84.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked MIBR | 20c | 77.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed MIBR | 21c | 67.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Astralis | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR | 34c | 64.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 79c | 63.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked MIBR | 23c | 63.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…1084backed Astralis | 76c | 52.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed MIBR | 26c | 51.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Astralis | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Astralis | 74c | 49.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Astralis | 69c | 45.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Astralis | 76c | 44.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Astralis | 67c | 34.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Astralis | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…9076backed Astralis | 67c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Astralis | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…9c2dbacked Astralis | 61c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Astralis | 61c | 16.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Astralis | 62c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Astralis | 73c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Astralis | 77c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.