CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b7dcbb498d7a28f0df590832cbec60842de71a7fe211689bff0e7652123ce35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b7…9f3abacked MIBR | 32c | 6,199$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked MIBR | 1c | 4,022$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR | 31c | 2,858$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.35 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MIBR | 22c | 1,909$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.29 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 69c | 1,471$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.92 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR | 20c | 1,012$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 78c | 1,001$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 78c | 999$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MIBR | 2c | 996.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed MIBR | 29c | 942.51$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MIBR | 19c | 918.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Astralis | 73c | 811.29$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Astralis | 75c | 738.75$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MIBR | 25c | 715$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed MIBR | 5c | 681.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MIBR | 14c | 638.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 69c | 605.55$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 75c | 492.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 68c | 487.44$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2685…bb3abacked Astralis | 78c | 477.92$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MIBR | 29c | 473.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed MIBR | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Astralis | 75c | 369.71$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR | 6c | 358.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 16c | 347.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Astralis | 68c | 317.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Astralis | 71c | 277.83$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked MIBR | 27c | 265.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MIBR | 27c | 247.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 72c | 237.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 70c | 223.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Astralis | 75c | 197.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MIBR | 26c | 184.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 10c | 156.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked MIBR | 11c | 115.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Astralis | 76c | 109.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Astralis | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Astralis | 73c | 94.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Astralis | 75c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed MIBR | 25c | 89.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed MIBR | 28c | 86.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed MIBR | 24c | 83.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 587 | 43.4%255 W · 332 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed MIBR | 20c | 68.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MIBR | 23c | 67.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 73c | 67.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Astralis | 77c | 64.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR | 29c | 63.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…d45dbacked Astralis | 76c | 61.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 31c | 55.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Astralis | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Astralis | 71c | 54.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…9356backed Astralis | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed MIBR | 28c | 49.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Astralis | 79c | 43.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…2bb3backed Astralis | 76c | 42.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…0058backed Astralis | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Astralis | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 70c | 39.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Astralis | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Astralis | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…f34ebacked Astralis | 74c | 29.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked Astralis | 71c | 28.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Astralis | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…9c2dbacked Astralis | 71c | 26.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Astralis | 72c | 24.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 69c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Astralis | 69c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Astralis | 71c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Astralis | 69c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…4998backed Astralis | 76c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.