Fifa International · resolved market
France to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92428002f2b0d1f343050169f5143f9d074b239992c65216bc55023aa6df1928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 17,354$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 37c | 16,332$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.04 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 63c | 9,063$5,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.71 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 1,988$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.48 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Yes | 10c | 1,930$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 63c | 1,794$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.77 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 1,604$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…896cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…505abacked No | 65c | 1,408$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +196.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…f1b6backed Yes | 9c | 1,130$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62eb…ff3ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 54c | 1,076$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.74 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed No | 64c | 879.9$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.76 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 62c | 831.66$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.03 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 759.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 56c | 709.03$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 10c | 687.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…53c8backed No | 64c | 488.79$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 314.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 59c | 311.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 293.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 271.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 63c | 254$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…2428backed Yes | 36c | 249.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed No | 64c | 233.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…930bbacked Yes | 46c | 210.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 198$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 77c | 146.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…cff4backed Yes | 36c | 131.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…322bbacked Yes | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 200 | 24.5%49 W · 151 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 62c | 125.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 10c | 106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc650…b5bbbacked No | 64c | 99.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 64c | 98.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 94.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 36c | 88.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…2cbdbacked Yes | 37c | 78.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 42c | 76.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 75.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 64c | 68.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 55c | 62.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed Yes | 45c | 56.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Yes | 37c | 48.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…a613backed Yes | 41c | 46.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…6514backed Yes | 37c | 41.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…9f54backed No | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 55c | 35.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d0…6ccabacked Yes | 38c | 35.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 63c | 34.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 63c | 33.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…827abacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…7a58backed No | 65c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 63c | 18.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 62c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to win the second half?this page
- France vs. Spain: Second half draw?No won
- Spain to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.