Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7aa807ffc7071826c05cb79c8880f195a6b740938ef0a26aea1134ad74e865a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 17,331$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 71c | 6,112$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.64 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 61c | 5,045$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.29 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 21c | 3,679$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.16 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 3,398$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 74c | 1,631$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.36 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…e993backed Yes | 26c | 1,522$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 1,092$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.92 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 75c | 937.61$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.68 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Yes | 66c | 812.73$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.33 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 729.29$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 695.82$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.03 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 28c | 439.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.95 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked No | 5c | 423.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 65c | 409.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…4614backed Yes | 25c | 405.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 28c | 397.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 361.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 77c | 355.84$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 73c | 338$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 239.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 25c | 192$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 22c | 145.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 67c | 132$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…d23abacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed No | 29c | 122.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…f1a7backed Yes | 64c | 109.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 33c | 99.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…4ef0backed Yes | 60c | 94.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 72c | 92.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Yes | 77c | 89.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…062abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 24c | 79.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Yes | 26c | 75.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 74c | 74.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 70c | 69.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…4ce3backed Yes | 61c | 49.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…123ebacked Yes | 71c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 46.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8be…37f9backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…08ddbacked Yes | 26c | 39.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 30c | 38.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 30c | 34.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 34.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 69c | 28.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 26.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…63b8backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 72c | 18.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to win the second half?this page
- France to win the second half?No won
- France vs. Spain: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.