Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x789429860446819ec0220a7c41b2959316bb6bd8314156a71c79995c0b1a5cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miposhka Teamof Travoman Team, Miposhka Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Travoman Team | 2c | 991.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Travoman Team | 50c | 499.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 271.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 257$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Travoman Team | 13c | 221.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed Travoman Team | 22c | 157.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…0fcbbacked Miposhka Team | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Travoman Team | 24c | 106.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Travoman Team | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Travoman Team | 39c | 96.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Miposhka Team | 66c | 95.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Miposhka Team | 61c | 80.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Miposhka Team | 46c | 69.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Miposhka Team | 76c | 65.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Travoman Team | 17c | 62.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…c61bbacked Travoman Team | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…44f9backed Miposhka Team | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Travoman Team | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…0214backed Travoman Team | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Miposhka Team | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Travoman Team | 51c | 26.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 WinnerMiposhka Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 WinnerMiposhka Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.