Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee98b8c595ba2c2d58f44aa2443814f099978e882e8ece6511c48ea8507668fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miposhka Teamof Travoman Team, Miposhka Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Travoman Team | 38c | 1,729$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.81 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Miposhka Team | 53c | 1,259$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.78 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Travoman Team | 39c | 730.69$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Miposhka Team | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Miposhka Team | 78c | 551.6$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Travoman Team | 30c | 444$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Travoman Team | 27c | 421.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Miposhka Team | 69c | 312.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Miposhka Team | 55c | 309.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Miposhka Team | 73c | 286.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Miposhka Team | 74c | 272.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Travoman Team | 30c | 235.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Miposhka Team | 72c | 199.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Travoman Team | 53c | 190.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed Travoman Team | 75c | 173$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Travoman Team | 35c | 110.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Travoman Team | 24c | 110.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Travoman Team | 40c | 107.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Travoman Team | 65c | 87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Travoman Team | 42c | 84.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Travoman Team | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Travoman Team | 24c | 76.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Travoman Team | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Travoman Team | 28c | 71.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Travoman Team | 25c | 71.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Travoman Team | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Miposhka Team | 68c | 69.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed Travoman Team | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Travoman Team | 32c | 51.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Travoman Team | 34c | 50.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Miposhka Team | 63c | 49.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Travoman Team | 20c | 48.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Travoman Team | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Miposhka Team | 60c | 45.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Travoman Team | 77c | 43.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked Miposhka Team | 73c | 30.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Miposhka Team | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Travoman Team | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…7450backed Miposhka Team | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Travoman Team | 47c | 26.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Travoman Team | 65c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Miposhka Team | 70c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group BMiposhka Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 WinnerMiposhka Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.