Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Keegan Smith vs Alex Bolt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aba8a0aa72ec8fe86c33423ba66a0adaee45384858eeec4e7469039336e4544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Boltof Keegan Smith, Alex Bolt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keegan Smith | 23c | 19,883$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alex Bolt | 70c | 4,576$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.74 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Bolt | 77c | 4,455$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Bolt | 69c | 4,363$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.85 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 4,250$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.07 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex Bolt | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.87 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 2,988$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.99 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 2,889$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.24 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Keegan Smith | 40c | 2,501$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Keegan Smith | 36c | 2,344$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.74 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 2,209$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.76 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Keegan Smith | 36c | 2,122$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith | 29c | 1,860$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Keegan Smith | 30c | 1,612$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.98 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 1,483$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.93 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 1,395$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.44 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 1,316$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Alex Bolt | 72c | 1,237$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.27 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Alex Bolt | 66c | 1,208$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.72 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 1,195$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.06 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 1,136$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 1,100$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Keegan Smith | 20c | 1,098$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 1,089$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 1,045$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.82 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Alex Bolt | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Alex Bolt | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Keegan Smith | 36c | 943.76$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 896.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Keegan Smith | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Bolt | 71c | 813.29$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 800$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 775.77$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.77 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 711.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alex Bolt | 57c | 668$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keegan Smith | 32c | 652.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Alex Bolt | 79c | 633.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Keegan Smith | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 591.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Alex Bolt | 66c | 569.23$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Alex Bolt | 65c | 544.76$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Alex Bolt | 66c | 541.12$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Bolt | 65c | 524.42$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Keegan Smith | 32c | 522.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Keegan Smith | 34c | 499.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alex Bolt | 66c | 496$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.51 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Keegan Smith | 34c | 485.04$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 440.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Keegan Smith | 27c | 428.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 419.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…07adbacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 416.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 396.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 349.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Alex Bolt | 63c | 318.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Alex Bolt | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Alex Bolt | 66c | 301.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Keegan Smith | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Keegan Smith | 19c | 288.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alex Bolt | 66c | 278.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Alex Bolt | 65c | 278$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Alex Bolt | 63c | 266.58$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963f…4487backed Alex Bolt | 69c | 259.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Alex Bolt | 79c | 254.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Alex Bolt | 68c | 250.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Alex Bolt | 67c | 246.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Alex Bolt | 56c | 239.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Alex Bolt | 56c | 212$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 211.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Alex Bolt | 79c | 202.75$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Keegan Smith | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alex Bolt | 73c | 197$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Bolt | 75c | 188.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…5372backed Alex Bolt | 68c | 172.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 168.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Alex Bolt | 61c | 167.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Alex Bolt | 71c | 167.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Keegan Smith | 17c | 164.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keegan Smith | 17c | 164$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Keegan Smith | 19c | 157.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Alex Bolt | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…0cb9backed Keegan Smith | 34c | 146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Alex Bolt | 70c | 143.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Alex Bolt | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Keegan Smith | 30c | 142.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…4a77backed Alex Bolt | 70c | 137.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Keegan Smith | 30c | 133.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Bolt | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Keegan Smith | 44c | 111.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Keegan Smith | 22c | 107.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Keegan Smith | 21c | 106.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784e…6029backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.