Tennis · resolved market
Shymkent 2: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Nikita Belozertsev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60adbe616a5b8836c2170c901bae65ca4ec452a4621a1188fc5437f726548eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manoj Dhamne Manasof Manoj Dhamne Manas, Nikita Belozertsev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 65c | 3,667$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.39 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 35c | 3,364$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.05 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nikita Belozertsev | 29c | 1,770$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.6 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nikita Belozertsev | 23c | 1,273$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 58c | 1,119$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 77c | 763.01$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 73c | 688.32$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 19c | 672.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nikita Belozertsev | 45c | 628.69$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.32 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 66c | 369.32$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Nikita Belozertsev | 35c | 350.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Nikita Belozertsev | 16c | 273.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 35c | 184.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Nikita Belozertsev | 13c | 169.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Nikita Belozertsev | 34c | 164.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…6fb9backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 69c | 163.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 50c | 154.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 57c | 154.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 68c | 144.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 68c | 141.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nikita Belozertsev | 33c | 133.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 69c | 130.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 69c | 127.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 35c | 121.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 67c | 117.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…b4aebacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 53c | 115.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nikita Belozertsev | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 27c | 106$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 41c | 101.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 18c | 98.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Nikita Belozertsev | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nikita Belozertsev | 36c | 90.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 67c | 87.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nikita Belozertsev | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Nikita Belozertsev | 46c | 80.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 41c | 79.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efcebacked Nikita Belozertsev | 33c | 79.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 53c | 78.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 15c | 77.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nikita Belozertsev | 24c | 76.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nikita Belozertsev | 34c | 76.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 48c | 70.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 59c | 67.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Nikita Belozertsev | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nikita Belozertsev | 34c | 59.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nikita Belozertsev | 24c | 59.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 40c | 57.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…c2a4backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 70c | 53.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Nikita Belozertsev | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nikita Belozertsev | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 25c | 49.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nikita Belozertsev | 26c | 47.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 26c | 46.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 67c | 44.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 66c | 42.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nikita Belozertsev | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 34c | 39.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nikita Belozertsev | 35c | 37.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 79c | 35.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Nikita Belozertsev | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Nikita Belozertsev | 33c | 33.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…e490backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 69c | 33.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 70c | 32.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 80c | 29.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…5a73backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 71c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 66c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 74c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.