Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68589e7c9aef32a3b48202128b0f9f6ddf6cab04eeb311ebce3343ec5686142d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,513$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.94 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 67c | 898.18$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 33c | 872$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.56 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 40c | 528$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 65c | 502.31$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 447.45$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 336.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Yes | 23c | 244.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e5…092ebacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 31c | 193.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 178.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 178.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 27c | 168.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 35c | 148.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed Yes | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…215bbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 42.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 24.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c9…4fa8backed No | 66c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 64c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Genoa vs. Fiorentina end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.