MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88baa2f9cdf2e276dc1cb16bbbc53707bc63dcab46723520368d1a11c7d26820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Diamondbacks, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 55c | 411,477$227,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,709.12 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 184,872$81,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,736.65 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 96,894$43,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,602.36 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 43,900$19,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,316 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 16c | 23,986$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 56c | 13,841$7,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.26 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 9,241$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Padres | 60c | 7,052$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.8 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Padres | 56c | 6,809$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 6,681$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.78 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 55c | 5,000$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.5 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 51c | 3,940$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.94 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 3,457$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,802$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 56c | 2,537$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,409$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 55c | 1,444$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.8 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 56c | 1,404$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 54c | 1,162$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.24 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,162$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,113$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.72 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,094$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.05 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 1,013$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Padres | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 873.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 856.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks | 14c | 797.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 665.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 634$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 613.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 57c | 580$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Padres | 56c | 576.32$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 56c | 537.09$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 35c | 520$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 502.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 500$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 473.83$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Diamondbacks | 11c | 445.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Padres | 56c | 429.7$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 419$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 399.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Padres | 55c | 385$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 74c | 361.2$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 74c | 326.55$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 309$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…2d5fbacked Padres | 58c | 308.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Diamondbacks | 8c | 307.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 23c | 303.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Padres | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 26c | 253.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 42c | 180.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Padres | 56c | 145.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 133.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Padres | 49c | 119.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Padres | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…613ebacked Padres | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Padres | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5f14backed Padres | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e61…7529backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…f685backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026e…37d7backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…642dbacked Padres | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 99.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…bc00backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 97.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Padres | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…85a1backed Padres | 57c | 87.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8299backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 86.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722d…6c24backed Padres | 57c | 84.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…5025backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 84.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…3fe3backed Padres | 57c | 83.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Padres | 55c | 77.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Padresthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.