Tennis · resolved market
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Shuai Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ed82f51f84c5e4dcb30e7cf120410477d963f665a7c9b4ddf1fb3f2914e924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalinskayaof Kalinskaya, Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Zhang | 41c | 13,934$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,772.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Zhang | 20c | 12,293$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.32 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhang | 5c | 10,162$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Kalinskaya | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.66 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kalinskaya | 79c | 3,292$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.79 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 3,018$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.62 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Zhang | 15c | 1,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kalinskaya | 78c | 1,381$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.84 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Kalinskaya | 78c | 1,150$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kalinskaya | 59c | 813.58$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.57 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Kalinskaya | 57c | 512.56$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Zhang | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zhang | 28c | 442.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Kalinskaya | 57c | 399.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Kalinskaya | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 325.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Zhang | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…48ebbacked Kalinskaya | 69c | 299.14$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Kalinskaya | 59c | 194.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Zhang | 30c | 185.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Kalinskaya | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Kalinskaya | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Kalinskaya | 55c | 149.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Kalinskaya | 79c | 147.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 132.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zhang | 20c | 101.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Kalinskaya | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kalinskaya | 55c | 99.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Kalinskaya | 67c | 96.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Kalinskaya | 59c | 90.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Zhang | 19c | 79.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zhang | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kalinskaya | 77c | 63.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zhang | 21c | 60.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Kalinskaya | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…a005backed Kalinskaya | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…451dbacked Kalinskaya | 77c | 53.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Kalinskaya | 76c | 50.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…78b2backed Kalinskaya | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Zhang | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Kalinskaya | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Zhang | 45c | 46.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Zhang | 42c | 42.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Kalinskaya | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…fab2backed Kalinskaya | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Kalinskaya | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Kalinskaya | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Kalinskaya | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…e618backed Kalinskaya | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.