Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Polina Iatcenko vs Katarzyna Kawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf03546cf6338e55e1e2924065476c8beee40645262fe3279f99ccc70e74731c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iatcenkoof Iatcenko, Kawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kawa | 28c | 7,859$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.37 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Iatcenko | 66c | 5,592$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.42 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iatcenko | 76c | 4,629$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Kawa | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Kawa | 18c | 2,220$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Kawa | 4c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Kawa | 14c | 1,600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kawa | 14c | 927.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…7304backed Iatcenko | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…0b32backed Kawa | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kawa | 33c | 708.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Kawa | 18c | 684.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kawa | 30c | 645.64$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kawa | 29c | 389.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Kawa | 30c | 331.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Kawa | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Kawa | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kawa | 18c | 225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Kawa | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Kawa | 11c | 181.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Iatcenko | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…bab3backed Kawa | 14c | 140.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Iatcenko | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…8372backed Kawa | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kawa | 11c | 109.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Kawa | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Kawa | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kawa | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kawa | 25c | 95.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Kawa | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Kawa | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Kawa | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…7e67backed Kawa | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Iatcenko | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Iatcenko | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Kawa | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba11…e0d7backed Iatcenko | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Iatcenko | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Iatcenko | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.